Trump Claims Hormuz Oil Volumes Are BACK in Truth Social Graphic
Trump posts an infographic asserting Strait of Hormuz oil flows have returned, citing 20 million barrels a day before conflict and 18 million now, though analysts say actual flows remain volatile.
WASHINGTON D.C. — Donald J. Trump asserted that oil shipments through the Strait of Hormuz have rebounded, posting an infographic on Truth Social that claims flows have returned near pre-conflict levels. The graphic pairs a regional map of Iran,Oman and the United Arab Emirates with a two-bar chart. It labels pre-conflict volumes at 20 million barrels per day and current volumes at 18 million barrels per day, topped with upward arrows and the banner “BACK!”
Here is the full post on truthsocial: “Hormuz Oil Volumes are BACK!Iran STRAIT OF HORMUZ Before 20 Million barrels per day Now 18 Million barrels per day United Arab Emirates Oman” on September 6, 2026 at 2:48 PM ET.
This is Trump’s 17th message released today, and the last post was 2 minutes ago, and it is not part of a thread. On average, Trump produces 18 posts per day since his inauguration on January 20, 2025. The move fits a broader pattern in Trump’s recent messaging, with 75 of his 622 posts over the last 30 days classified as Foreign Policy posts.
The Strait of Hormuz sits at the mouth of the Persian Gulf, bounded by Iran to the north and Oman and the United Arab Emirates to the south. Iran depends on the waterway for its economic well-being, exporting about 2.6 million barrels of oil per day, according to strausscenter. Oil export revenues account for some 85% of all Iranian government revenue, and roughly 90 percent of Iran’s oil exports pass through the Strait each year, according to strausscenter.
Iran‘s oil export terminals and large ports sit inside the Persian Gulf, leaving the country reliant on the passage for both exports and gasoline imports. Iran imports an estimated 400,000 barrels per day of gasoline through the Strait, and it ranks as the world’s largest importer of gasoline after the United States, according to strausscenter. The country’s only major oceanic port, Chah Bahar, lacks deepwater piers and pipeline links to Iran’s oil infrastructure, forcing exports back through the chokepoint, according to strausscenter.
47th President Donald J. Trump posted an infographic at Washington D.C.
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Energy analysts have questioned similar administration claims about the passage. U.S. Energy Secretary Chris Wright said more than 17 million barrels of oil flowed through the Strait on a single Monday, calling it a record since the conflict began, according to fortune. Analytics firms that track tanker traffic rebutted that account, with Samir Madani, co-founder of TankerTrackers.com, saying volumes remained well below pre-war levels and fluctuated sharply day to day, according to fortune.
Madani estimated that about 9.14 million barrels of oil exited the Arabian Sea on Aug. 31, one of the highest days of recent traffic. Volumes then fell to an estimated 6.81 million barrels on Sept. one and 4.63 million barrels on Sept. two, according to fortune. Despite months of conflict and continuing disruption, oil supplies through the Strait have stayed well above worst-case forecasts, according to dw.
Trump’s post names three bordering states without additional commentary. The infographic frames current traffic as a recovery, though the figures it displays show current volumes below the pre-conflict baseline. The graphic offers no source for its figures and no timeframe for the comparison.
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Protomaps / Natural Earth – Iran
Photo by Protomaps / Natural Earth – Iran
Protomaps / Natural Earth – United Arab Emirates
Protomaps / Natural Earth – Oman
Photo by Protomaps / Natural Earth – Oman